(3 hours ago)JoJo_Jost Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view. (4 hours ago)chenxiang Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view."Hi everyone. As a native Chinese speaker, I want to answer the question about 'long-distance effects' in Chinese.
No, Chinese absolutely does not have this kind of long-distance dependency, neither in syntax nor in phonetics. Chinese is an isolating language. Each character stands alone. The strokes, structure, or pronunciation of one character have zero mechanical influence on the next character.
@ Stolfi Then you have a serious problem—since these effects occur not only with “sh” but also with other letter combinations.
Unfortunately, that disproves your theory.
Under these circumstances, the VMS CANNOT be Chinese - (this long distance effect also occurs in the “Stars” section.)
Sorry...

PS: And certainly not if `qo = "and` were the case. Because `and` has no side effects, since it’s a list, and before you start a list, no one knows that it’s about to start or how long it will last.
Specific analysis is as follows:
Natural languages are driven by semantics and syntax, not character statistics: In Chinese (and any natural language), what the first character of the next word is depends mainly on semantics (what one wants to express) and grammar (such as verb-object collocations and subject-predicate relationships). For example, in traditional Chinese medicine botanical texts, the probability of "Honghua" (Safflower) being followed by "Huoxue" (promoting blood circulation) is high because of semantic relevance, not because of some glyph property of the character "hong".
The true manifestation of "remote effect" in Chinese:
Syntactic dependencies (long-distance dependencies): For example, "如果...就..." (if...then...), "因为...所以..." (because...therefore...). Or the "吗" (ma) at the end of a question echoing the interrogative at the beginning. But this is grammatical structure, with clear semantic boundaries.
Prosody and meter: In classical poetry, rhyming (e.g., rhyming at the end of the 1st, 2nd, and 4th lines) and tonal constraints (pingze) do have long-distance constraints, but these are restrictions of specific literary genres, not general rules for ordinary natural language texts (such as botanical monographs).
Tone sandhi: Chinese has tone sandhi for "一" (yi) and "不" (bu), but this is strictly limited to the immediately following syllable (adjacent), and is absolutely never affected by prefixes several words prior (such as the hypothetical affixes "sh", "ch").
Counter-evidence: If a Chinese text describing different plants has character sequence statistics that do not vary with the type of plant (semantic content), but are strongly constrained by prefixes like "sh", "ch", "k", etc., spanning multiple characters to determine the probability of the subsequent "q(o)", then this book is absolutely not a natural language botanical monograph, but can only be an encrypted text or generated pseudo-text. This precisely confirms what you said: "The VMS text is essentially blind to its purported content—unless it is a cipher."
In natural languages, such a strong mechanical dependency is rare (unless it involves some form of grammatical agreement, or highly specific prosodic/phonological rules, but usually not to the precise extent of this puzzle-like statistics. In science, absolutes are rare). But this is very strong counter-evidence. Since Chinese does not have this rule, the manuscript cannot be a direct pinyin transcription of Chinese. However, this absolutely does not mean Stolfi's "Chinese theory" is completely dead. It only means: I feel that if it really is Chinese, then it is absolutely not a "direct transcription," but has gone through a complex codebook or artificial mechanical encoding. I must tell the truth: Chinese indeed does not have this "remote effect." It is an isolating language. If the Voynich manuscript has this 51% vs 28% effect, it absolutely cannot be a natural, direct pinyin transcription of Chinese.
But as a 16-year-old beginner, I don't think this is the doomsday of the "Chinese theory." Perhaps the VMS author was not just transcribing Chinese, but applying a mechanical cipher to a Chinese source text? Or perhaps the manuscript text is a mixed language?
Professor Stolfi, does this "remote effect" mean the clue "daiin = 主" is completely dead too? Or does it only mean there is a layer of encryption on the text? I am still very curious and want to learn!