Why and how the text could be Bavarian

[JoJo_Jost]

Your theories interested me because I arrived at roughly the same conclusions. In my mini‑cipher, o can turn into qo, and then I noticed that some people generally adhere to the idea of such a connection.
But I’ll allow myself to ask a question based on the fact that you’re gradually developing theories and new rules — isn’t your theory becoming more complex or overly precise?

Yes, and no. 

Well, I can see the problem, and I’m not sure whether it’s getting worse either. That would be a clear warning sign.

But in principle, I don’t work on the basis of: I’ve got an idea and now I’ll do everything I can to make it fit.

Actually, I try to base my work on the statistics / numbers I see. For example, the theory about vowel bridges and vowels arose from the figures relating to word transitions. That then fitted surprisingly well with the distribution of vowels in German texts.

And then it turned out that this theory fitted the VMS surprisingly well. For instance, using only the vowel rules, I was able to model all word transitions without any additional rules – even slightly better than these seven rules. That shows that something is working there.

However, I still hit a brick wall at some point. Time and time again, and I couldn’t understand why, because the rest fitted so well.

Then I realised that I was still missing a part of the cipher. Something I’d overlooked.

So I thought, I’ll do it the other way round – I’ll try to reconstruct the cipher. But the generators I designed also hit that wall. Statistics such as entropy, the Zipf curve and many others were good, mainly because I was using very few rules. But even here, those ‘20’ per cent were missing.

And then, looking at other statistics, it occurred to me that the cipher might be length-dependent – suddenly it all seemed to make sense. And I demonstrated this more and more clearly. By that point, I’d certainly already carried out around 100 statistical analyses...

Even so, I’m not ready to say: ‘This is definitely the solution!’ But it could be the missing piece of the jigsaw – perhaps not even for my VBM, but for someone else’s idea.

However, I can see that the VBM is a good way of tapping into many of the VMS’s special features. Does the length-dependent cipher make it more complicated? Yes. But it also makes it more coherent. I’m curious myself to see how things will develop from here.

So: yes and no