The 'Chinese' Theory: For and Against

[Jorge_Stolfi]

There is no such thing as the "correct" probability of something, because in the real world there are no probabilities.  In reality, either the die will show '3' or it will not show '3'.  Either the SPS is a copy of the SBJ, or it is not a copy of the SBJ.

By the way, this is precisely the point of the "rain probability gauge" joke in Science Made Stupid. There is no such thing as "the" probability that it will rain tomorrow.  

Tomorrow evening one will know whether it rained or not, but there would be no way to measure "the actual probability of rain", and no sense in saying "the forecast was 50% rain, but that was wrong -- I just measured it, and it was actually 70%".  

All the best, --stolfi