Strong evidence of a structured four-phase system in the Voynich Manuscript

[Urtx13]

There is a huge number of possible permutations of folios (factorial of the number of folios). Finding a seed that would result in a specific pattern by chance (or even billions of tests) is extraordinary. Are these "patterns that don’t happen under any other configuration" really unique and better for 1405 than any other seed? This is unclear to me.

(I wrote this before reading your last post, so okay, "it’s statistically validated.")

The conceptual problem I have is that the number generator seed has nothing to do with anything physical, like a date. It's not as if the lunar phases were generated with accurate astronomic calculation for a range of dates, they are pseudo-random, the random generation sequence was made deterministic by the value of the seed. So 1405 being special feels meaningless even if it works better than any other seed.

I should wait for the article on arXiv, I hope it will explain everything that I don't understand.

Do you know what a seed is?

A seed is just a number that lets you start the pseudo-random process from the same place every time. Without it, you’d get different results every run, like someone running 1 km, but always starting from a different city.

When you set a seed, it’s like saying:
“Let’s always start the 1 km run from Barcelona.”
Now you can compare runs fairly. You have a fixed reference point. It is just that.

---

There is a huge number of possible permutations of folios (factorial of the number of folios). Finding a seed that would result in a specific pattern by chance (or even billions of test) is extraordinary.

If I understand it correctly, it's not looking for a specific pattern, it's looking for any suitable cyclic pattern, the number of which is only marginally smaller than the total number of folio permutations.

Also, given the (pseudo-)random way the seed affects the results, the fact that the magic seed in question is 1405 (and not, say, 3452435431), also speaks somewhat about the actual number of permutations tested.

Maybe there is more in the article, but so far personally to me this doesn't look very promising.

Anyway, thanks to Urtx13 for sharing!

To clarify: the analysis doesn’t “search for a pattern” in a combinatorial sense. The pipeline is fixed — it uses EVA tokens, entropy per folio, fixed lunar-phase mapping (based on a symbolic seed). Then it tests whether a four-phase structure emerges consistently across folios and survives statistical validation (classification, autocorrelation, permutation test, etc.).