Need advice for testing of hypotheses related to the self-citation method

[nablator]

But it does not follow that the VMS was created using the SCM!

"It does not follow" is not a valid criticism of any theory... Induction is not deduction. It isn't worthless.

When I created this thread I expected a discussion of how to do a proper (Bayesian?) hypothesis testing.

We have a lot of evidence (the entire VMS), how do we assess/compare specific generating/ciphering/encoding methods with Bayesian inference? I know the basics but I've never done model selection / model fitting using Bayesian inference.

By "advice" I mean: I'd prefer not to spend a month reading the literature and use a framework made by someone who knows how to do it.

I don't care what ChatGPT "thinks" about it. I'm old-fashioned: I asked Google for pointers but it is not helpful enough, there is too much to read. Yes, I'm lazy.

An introductory tutorial: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.