Morten St George Theory

[Linda]

The hats post more relevant to provenance is this one:
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Koen G, Neither you nor JP provide a 15th-century example of a hat with "a little circle on top", but I provide one from 13th century Spain.

Morten, after looking at the original i have to say that the part you presented as the circle on top, while it did look that way somewhat, is actually the forehead of the fourth person behind him.

I think the one in the vms is also not a circle on top, but just the portion you can see of the poofy type, like on the archer.

Oh...i guess i should have caught up, you were talking about the crown? I discounted that right away and thought you were talking about the the other one. In any case there is no comparable headwear in your example. Nor does any of the clothing match.