Koen G > 18-03-2024, 09:14 PM
(18-03-2024, 04:16 PM)pjburkshire Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.What approach do you recommend should be taken?
Bernd > 18-03-2024, 09:21 PM
(18-03-2024, 08:22 AM)Koen G Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.The problem with the Voynich is that it makes us feel like we are being proper scientists, finding evidence that confirms our theoriesBad science starts with trying to confirm or even 'prove' your own theories instead of falsifying hypotheses, thereby making alternative ones become more likely. The second you start looking for evidence that fits and reaffirms your expectations, you are already on the path to pseudoscience. One of the hallmarks of pseudoscience is that it focuses on finding evidence that confirms it while ignoring whatever doesn't 'fit'. This cherry-picking is the dreadful confirmation bias we see in 99.98% of Voynich Manuscript 'theories' which are not only useless but also a waste of the authors precious lifetime. I feel bad for the people every time I read I've solved the VM and it's... here. So much work and time spent for nothing.
pjburkshire > 18-03-2024, 10:02 PM
(18-03-2024, 09:21 PM)Bernd Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.Bad science starts with trying to confirm or even 'prove' your own theories instead of falsifying hypotheses, thereby making alternative ones become more likely.
tavie > 18-03-2024, 10:37 PM
Koen G > 18-03-2024, 10:42 PM
pjburkshire > 19-03-2024, 12:41 AM
(18-03-2024, 10:37 PM)tavie Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.It's easier said than done, but always ask yourself at every stage: "Why might I be wrong?"
ReneZ > 19-03-2024, 12:43 AM
pjburkshire > 19-03-2024, 12:49 AM
(18-03-2024, 10:42 PM)Koen G Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.Also, there is something subtle but very useful I have learned recently. When I get this nagging feeling that "nobody will believe this" or "everybody will complain about this", I have learned that this is probably not because people don't want to understand. It is because the proposal is too speculative and not supported by enough evidence. It takes some humility to accept these kinds of social cues, but I have found it very useful in my writing.
Koen G > 19-03-2024, 07:50 AM
(19-03-2024, 12:49 AM)pjburkshire Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.I have learned to trust my own judgment. I go with the evidence, not other people's opinions. I generally get most things right.
pjburkshire > 19-03-2024, 12:41 PM
(19-03-2024, 07:50 AM)Koen G Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.(19-03-2024, 12:49 AM)pjburkshire Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.I have learned to trust my own judgment. I go with the evidence, not other people's opinions. I generally get most things right.
That mindset is what drives most Voynich theorists. Yet they cannot all be right.