It certainly seems fair to say that the fashion peaked before 1430, but a specific ending date is more elusive. Did it end in Paris the same year that it ended in Haguenau? So, the heigh-of-prevalence date is not quite the same as the ending date. And more importantly, in dealing with illustrations, there is an increased potential lag time. There are good cultural and chronological connections for *what* is being depicted, but not quite as good for the chronology of the VMs illustrations. And most of all in consideration that this is the VMs which can be shown to engage in intentional deception (White Aries).
It seems that dating works better when based on a specific event. The Golden Fleece has a specific date, it was a big deal at the time, and it is in 1430. So, any subsequent depiction is in or after 1430.
And speaking of repetition. As it is, the single sample assumption for the VMs C-14 dating has room for parchment production after 1430. Resolving this to a binary option could move things forward even a bit more.
'1430' is a good dividing line. What is depicted may belong on one side of the line, the product of that depiction appears to belong on the other.
It seems that dating works better when based on a specific event. The Golden Fleece has a specific date, it was a big deal at the time, and it is in 1430. So, any subsequent depiction is in or after 1430.
And speaking of repetition. As it is, the single sample assumption for the VMs C-14 dating has room for parchment production after 1430. Resolving this to a binary option could move things forward even a bit more.
'1430' is a good dividing line. What is depicted may belong on one side of the line, the product of that depiction appears to belong on the other.