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+---- Thread: Two Preprints: Bayesian Model Selection ($\Href$) & Cognitive Mechanism (The Zero-Pat (/thread-5379.html)
Two Preprints: Bayesian Model Selection ($\Href$) & Cognitive Mechanism (The Zero-Pat - durdanovic - 18-02-2026
Colleagues,
I am sharing two companion papers that address the Voynich Manuscript through the lens of Bayesian Model Selection and Cognitive Science.
Paper 1: Epistemological Hygiene & The Zero-Patch Standard
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This paper argues that the field has been constrained by the Patching Fallacy: the acceptance of hypotheses (like Natural Language or Ciphers) that only fit the evidence by introducing unconstrained auxiliary parameters.
By applying a strict Zero-Patch Standard, the paper demonstrates that a Structured Reference System ($\Href$) is the information-theoretically minimal model. It is deduced directly from the corpus invariants (Rigid Morphology, High Hapax, Sectional Disjointness) rather than postulated and patched.
Paper 2: Cognitive Optimization in External Memory Systems
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This follow-up provides the mechanistic explanation for that structure. It reinterprets Stolfi’s "Crust-Mantle-Core" and Currier’s partitions not as linguistic anomalies, but as Cognitive Optimizations for manual retrieval in a paper-based database:
- Prefixes: Classifiers/Index markers (working memory limits).
- Roots: Visual "Combination Locks" for parallel search (minimizing lookup latency).
- Sectional Shifts: Namespace Partitioning (referential integrity).
The papers aim to link the well-documented statistical topography of the VMS to a concrete, falsifiable functional architecture.
Best regards,
Igor Durdanovic
RE: Two Preprints: Bayesian Model Selection ($\Href$) & Cognitive Mechanism (The Zero-Pat - tavie - 18-02-2026
How did you use AI in producing these two papers? We have a prohibition on theories and papers that were assisted by LLM chatbots like ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude because their current models are invariably producing AI slop when used for anything more than pure translation.
A lot in your papers is going over my head to be fair...but I'm concerned from reading the conclusions in particular that this is AI slop.
RE: Two Preprints: Bayesian Model Selection ($\Href$) & Cognitive Mechanism (The Zero-Pat - asteckley - 18-02-2026
(18-02-2026, 05:44 PM)tavie Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.A lot of this is over my head to be fair...but I'm concerned from reading the conclusions in particular that this is AI slop.
It’s slop.
RE: Two Preprints: Bayesian Model Selection ($\Href$) & Cognitive Mechanism (The Zero-Pat - durdanovic - 18-02-2026
(18-02-2026, 05:44 PM)tavie Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.How did you use AI in producing these two papers? We have a prohibition on theories and papers that were assisted by LLM chatbots like ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude because their current models are invariably producing AI slop when used for anything more than pure translation.
A lot in your papers is going over my head to be fair...but I'm concerned from reading the conclusions in particular that this is AI slop.
I let the paper(s) speak for themselves, if the math is over your head,that is not my problem.
RE: Two Preprints: Bayesian Model Selection ($\Href$) & Cognitive Mechanism (The Zero-Pat - asteckley - 18-02-2026
(18-02-2026, 05:55 PM)durdanovic Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.(18-02-2026, 05:44 PM)tavie Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.How did you use AI in producing these two papers? We have a prohibition on theories and papers that were assisted by LLM chatbots like ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude because their current models are invariably producing AI slop when used for anything more than pure translation.
A lot in your papers is going over my head to be fair...but I'm concerned from reading the conclusions in particular that this is AI slop.
I let the paper(s) speak for themselves, if the math is over your head,that is not my problem.
You know damn-well that the math is not over her head -- the math is nonsense just like the rest of the paper.
You do not understand it yourself. You cannot explain it in your own words, you cannot walk anyone through its pseudo-logic, and you cannot defend it as legitimate research. Yet you still publish it and present it as if it were the result of your own effort, expecting people to give you credit for something you neither produced nor understand. Anyone who behaves that way has serious mental and emotional problems and needs to get help.
Your only response is a snide pathetic remark to a legitimate question that was put to you.
RE: Two Preprints: Bayesian Model Selection ($\Href$) & Cognitive Mechanism (The Zero-Pat - durdanovic - 18-02-2026
(18-02-2026, 08:26 PM)asteckley Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.(18-02-2026, 05:55 PM)durdanovic Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.(18-02-2026, 05:44 PM)tavie Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.How did you use AI in producing these two papers? We have a prohibition on theories and papers that were assisted by LLM chatbots like ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude because their current models are invariably producing AI slop when used for anything more than pure translation.
A lot in your papers is going over my head to be fair...but I'm concerned from reading the conclusions in particular that this is AI slop.
I let the paper(s) speak for themselves, if the math is over your head,that is not my problem.
You know damn-well that the math is not over her head -- the math is nonsense just like the rest of the paper.
You do not understand it yourself. You cannot explain it in your own words, you cannot walk anyone through its pseudo-logic, and you cannot defend it as legitimate research. Yet you still publish it and present it as if it were the result of your own effort, expecting people to give you credit for something you neither produced nor understand. Anyone who behaves that way has serious mental and emotional problems and needs to get help.
Your only response is a snide pathetic remark to a legitimate question that was put to you.
If you have a question about the paper, ask! If you think math is nonsense, I suggest you actually read the books I cited on information theory, bayesian inference, machine learning, etc. Of course it is my own effort! You can not even engage with the paper, your only resort is to attack the author.
I repeat, if you have a question about the math, deductive chain, statistical fingerprint, etc, ask. I have +35 years of actual hands on experience in those domains..
RE: Two Preprints: Bayesian Model Selection ($\Href$) & Cognitive Mechanism (The Zero-Pat - pjburkshire - 18-02-2026
(18-02-2026, 09:16 PM)durdanovic Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.
If you have a question about the paper, ask! If you think math is nonsense, I suggest you actually read the books I cited on information theory, bayesian inference, machine learning, etc. Of course it is my own effort! You can not even engage with the paper, your only resort is to attack the author.
I repeat, if you have a question about the math, deductive chain, statistical fingerprint, etc, ask. I have +35 years of actual hands on experience in those domains..
I don't care about the math. I don't care what language it is. Can you give us a hint as to what the non-plant pages are about?
Alchemy / Pharmacology
Ancient Prophecy / Religious Text
Astrology / Cosmology / Astronomy
Foreign Knowledge
Medical / Biological Anatomy
Midwifery
Pilgrimage Routes / Journals
Plumbing / Bathing / Spa Culture
Textile Dyeing Manual (using plants as dye sources)
Wild Parties
Witchcraft / Black Magic / Forbidden Knowledge
RE: Two Preprints: Bayesian Model Selection ($\Href$) & Cognitive Mechanism (The Zero-Pat - Koen G - 18-02-2026
Your papers do indeed speak for themselves, as your attitude does for you.
RE: Two Preprints: Bayesian Model Selection ($\Href$) & Cognitive Mechanism (The Zero-Pat - Koen G - 18-02-2026
Another way to spot the Slopmonger: they copy-paste the AI-generated title without noticing it doesn't fit in the subject field.