04-12-2022, 03:31 PM
(04-12-2022, 12:41 AM)Emma May Smith Wrote: You are not allowed to view links. Register or Login to view.Patrick, I love that we can bring different phenomenon together and consider how they combine. Do we know the directional cause of overlap vs under/overrepresentation? Can we exclude the influence of the final glyph of a word from impacting the distribution of the initial glyph?
I suppose causality could run in either direction: positional distribution patterns with differing amounts of overlap could cause under/overrepresentation, or under/overrepresentation could cause positional distribution patterns with differing amounts of overlap. Or there may be cases in which word-break combinations are still significantly skewed even *after* controlling for degrees of overlap. This one example of [y.q] versus [n.q], even if it holds up to scrutiny, is still just one example.
But of course neither the overlaps in positional distribution patterns nor the weak-strong word-break combination attractions and repulsions constitute an explanation in themselves -- even if one "leads to" the other, that still leaves open the question of what's causing the "leading" phenomenon to occur in the first place.
The kinds of experiment you're hinting at seem very interesting and worthwhile, and I'd love to read about any conclusions you're able to draw from them.
With regard to the positional distribution patterns as a whole, the dynamics behind them are still very unclear (at least to me). Are certain glyphs and words really "tied" to particular positions in lines? Or does the process of text creation have a cumulative aspect over the course of a line, such that certain glyphs and words become progressively more or less probable over time because of what has preceded them?
An example of the first type would be the Trithemian Polygraphia III cipher, used "as intended," where words representing plaintext characters are selected from successive columns to fill out a cycle (which could be one line), and with each column containing words that share a distinctive morphological profile. If the fifth column consists entirely of words that begin with [p], for example, then words beginning with [p] will consistently appear as the fifth words of cycles/lines. I'm thinking of Jürgen Hermes (hermesj)'s sample encipherment of the word "secret" from the conference: [abril madu badir cadeler pasu ador].
An example of the second type would be an additive cipher in which each plaintext letter is assigned a number and the ciphertext is a running cumulative sum expressed in Roman numerals. Thus, ABRACADABRA -- in which the characters are individually 1;2;18;1;3;1;4;1;2;18;1 -- would be encoded numerically as 1;3;21;22;25;26;30;31;33;51;52, and written [i iii xxi xxii xxv xxvi xxx xxxi xxxiii li lii]. Here it's not that [v] or [x] or [l] "prefers" a later position in the line as such; it's just that it takes time for the preceding text to "build up" to those values.
I've chosen a pair of ciphers as examples just because they're relatively easy to describe and contrast with each other -- I don't mean to imply that the patterns necessarily point to a cipher rather than some other kind of solution. And of course either of these two specific ciphers, as described, would produce more rigid patterning than what we see in the Voynich Manuscript. But they may be useful as models if we want to try to design a test that could distinguish between processes of these two kinds.